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Trouble Ahead

Frank S

Seasoned Member
Male
Massive Panic Returns Summer 2022 (Few Are Ready)
(Note: If you are into buying gold and silver - there is a plug for them 1:52 to 2:15 into the video, but the rest of the info is especially important)
 
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There are extreme shortages in manufactured goods also. I am about to instal a number of device that I manufacture, which use a wide range of very common components - pipe fittings, common containers and so forth. When I designed this equipment, I specifically designed it to use extremely common, widely manufactured components to ensure I would always have supplies available.

I am finding it very difficult to get what I need. I have secured supplies for this one large job, but am very unclear on what I'll do if another similar job comes in in the near future.

For one example, I use a very common kitchen storage container as a fluid vessel in this device. I use this common kitchen storage container specifically because it is mass manufactured and sold under the generic "house brands" of multiple different stores - same container, different sticker - so the supplies are massive. And it's so common that usually you'd go into any such store and there would be hundreds on the shelf at any branch.

Two weeks ago I went hunting, and found one. I needed twelve. Placed an order for twelve at that store, and it took them almost a week to track down twelve for me from other branches.

Another example: I use very common 12v sealed lead acid brick batteries to power the electronics. Most common battery available.
The supplier I use thought they'd run out, but when he checked he found they had exactly twelve in stock - again the exact number I needed.

I am positive that God is providing for me right now, but I feel I am simply buying up the last of the stocks in local warehouses. Imports must be way down.

Fortunately, I imported excess of the components I import directly months ago, due to the risk of war with Taiwan. But I'm depleting my own storeroom also and will have difficulty restocking I expect.

This flows into food production and everything else, because food production requires pipe fittings, spare parts for machinery, containers for finished products and all manner of other things - in addition to fertiliser and fuel. Our local bee club has been telling us that containers for honey are even hard to obtain!
 
Good article from Zerohedge comparing fuel prices around the world:


For reference, our petrol prices hit about NZ$3 per litre, before the government did an emergency temporary reduction of fuel tax for PR reasons. Now, with that temporary reduction (which will only be in place for a month or so, the government is in massive debt and in no position to actually reduce taxes unless they made spending cuts they wouldn't contemplate), petrol is about NZ$2.60 per litre, or US$6.85 per gallon. Once the tax comes back on, if oil prices remain where they are today we'll be at US$8 per gallon.
 
Our garden expanded considerably last year but we didn't manage it as well as we should have.... learning/growing (pun intended) experience. This year we are doubling down on the expansion and committing to maximize it for food production. Goal is 30% of our food. Already have 50-60% of our meat in house..
 
Now Even The White House Is Admitting That A Global Food Crisis Is Here

 
"Put On Your Seatbelts": BlackRock CEO Warns Over 'Scarcity Inflation'

Is this CEO's face pictured in the dictionary along with his compatriot, the appropriately-named Larry Fink, at the definition for 'douche bag?' Wow; what hubris! His organization has invested in almost every effort to collapse our system, so now they're adding, "You deserve to suffer, alongside, "You will own nothing, and you will be happy."
 
WEF’s Klaus Schwab Warns “Global Energy Systems, Food Systems and Supply Chains will Be Deeply Affected” (VIDEO)

Dr. Strangelove speaks.
 
We use a modified form of the food storage plans that FEMA and the LDS church use. Basically make their ideas fit our preferences. We've been doing things this way partly out of habit and partly because in the winter it's no fun to have to make the 80 mile round trip into town for things. Or worse go to Billings or SLC to do any major shopping.
 
 
Fantastic thread:

Basically, there should be enough wheat produced in world. Most production is domestic, so 30% Rus+Ukr export share is 0.9% global production.

That's manageable. So problems shouldn't raise from this. Horewer, real problems are transportation and monetary policy. Transportation means that food doesn't arrive to hungry people.

Investors want their money to be safe so they will buy whatever people must buy (food, fertilizer). So commodities prices go up which will cause chaos.

EDIT: make text more understandable
 
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I know trouble is here, and am sure it will get worse. I've been a "prepper" for over a decade, but have stepped things up quite a bit over the last two years. We are more prepared than most of the population, but I know I have more work to do.

I've been a big gardener for years, but this year I want to focus on maximizing productivity by minimizing waste. Last year we bought a nice dehydrator and this year I'll try to store a lot of my excess production.

By the way, do you guys know about "grub hoes", which are large tillage hoes? I'm a big fan of them.

Here is one supplier, and yes.the price has gone up about 20% over a year ago.🥺

 
I think we currently grow around 30% of our food, but probably lose a third of it to waste (so maybe 20% of our diet). I also think I can improve production through greater intensity of production. With the current garden, and more effort, we might be able to grow close to half our food. We also have enough lawn remaining that I could at least double the size of my garden if needed. I might be able to hit 100% if necessary (assuming I still have sufficient inputs including irrigation water and fertilizer).

I need more farmland

That's just considering my wife and I. What about my parents, siblings, nieces and nephews, friends, and neighbors?

Rough times ahead
 
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